The rallymaster told me earlier in the summer that given the uncertainty in the Club Rally situation it would be difficult on short notice to make committments to the municipalities for road closures and other support functions. There is a lot of work (and financial committments) to do in putting on a rally (as I'm sure you know) and it can not be done overnight. With the probable additional work to increase safety measures, this workload will increase. Would a rallymaster do all of this work and then find out the Club Rallys are still not on? We are now almost at the end of July and Black River would be only two months away. In my opinion, if SCCA said tomorrow that Club Rallys are back on with certain operational amendments, Black River Stages would be doubtful. It's too bad, the municipalities are very supportive of this event. The local mayor ( and pub owner) is probably the biggest supporter of the event. The locals come out and ask for autographs!
This has always been an interesting event for me. In 2001, I wound up in a ditch in chest high water, but still managed to finish. In 2002, I was in a car that rolled and we still finished (and wern't even last in class!).
The rallymaster is currently working on laying out two days worth of legs of the Finger Lakes 1000 event that is held from August 11 to August 15th or 16th. So I imagine that he is focused on something that is real, rather than something that is hypothetical.